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When and why does the Voellmy model work well for Avalanches?

When and why does the Voellmy model work well for Avalanches?

Answer:

Avalanches

The Voellmy model – coupled with the calibrated parameters – can be used to

  • (1) predict the runout distance and

  • (2) predict the maximum flow velocity of extreme, large snow avalanches.

This is one of the important research results from the Vallée de la Sionne test site. The Voellmy parameters that we recommend describe the front of a dry-snow avalanche. Because the front defines the runout distance and maximum velocity the Voellmy model will work.

However, the Voellmy model will not describe the avalanche flow behind the front, at the tail of the avalanche. Here, measurements show an increase in the friction (a rapid decrease in speed). This effect causes avalanches to elongate and eventually deposit mass. Therefore, the Voellmy model will not predict the deposition behaviour.

The Voellmy model has difficulties to predict the runout of small avalanches, which sometimes begin immediately to deposit or “to starve”. Of course, small avalanches can be modelled using higher μ and ξ values, but this is a very ad-hoc approach.

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